Schwaben Augsburg v Eltersdorf prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Schwaben AugsburgDrawEltersdorf

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Schwaben Augsburg 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Schwaben Augsburg just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Schwaben Augsburg 39%, draw 24%, Eltersdorf 36%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Schwaben Augsburg v EltersdorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Schwaben Augsburg win39%

Draw24%

Eltersdorf win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundBayern · matchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Schwaben Augsburg

Eltersdorf

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 23 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	−9	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schwaben augsburg winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Schwaben Augsburg a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Schwaben Augsburg v Eltersdorf~~1.54 – 1.46

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 18~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Schwaben Augsburg win	39%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Eltersdorf win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Schwaben Augsburg or draw	64%	–	–
Schwaben Augsburg clean sheet	24%	–	–
Eltersdorf clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.4 7.3 5.4 2.6 1 7.6 11.2 7.9 3.9 2 5.9 8.3 6.0 3.0 3 3.1 4.3 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Schwaben Augsburg down, Eltersdorf across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,822 Regionalliga - Bayern matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Bayern matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 141 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Schwaben Augsburg at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Eltersdorf away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Schwaben Augsburg, 1.46 for Eltersdorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept

SCHWABEN AUGSBURG

DLWLWW1–1 · 3–4 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 2–0

ELTERSDORF

LWDDDL2–4 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Memmingen	16	+10	33
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	15	+10	28
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
5	Augsburg II	15	−1	24
6	Illertissen	15	+8	23
7	Bayreuth	15	+8	22
8	Vilzing	14	+1	21
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20
11	Nürnberg II	14	+6	20
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	−9	18
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	−10	17
16	Greuther Fürth II	15	−6	13
17	Ansbach	15	−17	12
18	Aubstadt	15	−7	11
19	Landsberg	15	−16	9