Schwaben Augsburg v Aubstadt

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aubstadt win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Aubstadt was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 36–25–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF Schwaben Augsburg v Aubstadt
4. 9′Schwaben Augsburg find the net on 9′. 1–0. 1–0 · 62–21–17
5. 9′We said Aubstadt at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–0 · 62–21–17
6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Schwaben Augsburg 1–0 Aubstadt
7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Aubstadt win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Schwaben Augsburg win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Aubstadt win 17%)
9. 24′We said Aubstadt at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
10. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 65–22–13
11. 37′Schwaben Augsburg ahead on 9′ through M. Schafer. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–22–12
12. 37′We said Aubstadt at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 66–22–12
13. 38′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 66–22–11
14. 45′A goal for Aubstadt on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–38–32
15. 45′Much as we predicted: Aubstadt was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 32% now. 1–1 · 30–38–32
16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Schwaben Augsburg 1–1 Aubstadt
17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Aubstadt win: 39% at kick-off, 32% now
18. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Schwaben Augsburg win 30%)
19. 45′HALF-TIME Schwaben Augsburg 1–1 Aubstadt
20. 46′SECOND HALF Schwaben Augsburg 1–1 Aubstadt
21. 54′Schwaben Augsburg score on 54′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 71–22–7
22. 54′We said Aubstadt at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–1 · 71–22–7
23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Schwaben Augsburg 2–1 Aubstadt
24. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Aubstadt win: 39% at kick-off, 7% now
25. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Schwaben Augsburg win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 22%)
26. 55′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 71–22–7
27. 65′We said Aubstadt at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
28. FTFULL TIME Schwaben Augsburg 2–1 Aubstadt
29. FTSchwaben Augsburg 2–1 Aubstadt · Aubstadt win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.