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Model 1.1

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FC Schweinfurt 05 v Ansbach

FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1Full time
Ansbach

Regionalliga - Bayern · TUE 13 OCT · Sachs-Stadion

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46
FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 Ansbach FC SCHWEINFURT 05 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FC Schweinfurt 05 win57%
The market said38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.015
The market’s Brier score0.866

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Schweinfurt 05 win at 57%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Schweinfurt 05 was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Schweinfurt 05 v Ansbach
  4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FC Schweinfurt 05 win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME FC Schweinfurt 05 0–0 Ansbach
  6. 46′SECOND HALF FC Schweinfurt 05 0–0 Ansbach
  7. 47′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–33–22
  8. 49′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–34–22
  9. 55′We expected about 3.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–38–21
  10. 59′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
  11. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was FC Schweinfurt 05 win 38%)
  12. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' FC Schweinfurt 05 win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
  13. 66′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
  14. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' FC Schweinfurt 05 0–1 Ansbach
  15. 72′A goal for Ansbach on 71′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–23–71
  16. 72′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–23–71
  17. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' FC Schweinfurt 05 win: 57% at kick-off, 6% now
  18. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Ansbach win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 23%)
  19. 76′We said FC Schweinfurt 05 at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–76
  20. 89′89′ and it is 1–1: FC Schweinfurt 05 have scored. 1–1 · 8–88–5
  21. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 Ansbach
  22. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' FC Schweinfurt 05 win: 57% at kick-off, 8% now
  23. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Ansbach win 5%)
  24. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' FC Schweinfurt 05 win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
  25. FTFULL TIME FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 Ansbach
  26. FTFC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 Ansbach · FC Schweinfurt 05 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

FC Schweinfurt 05 win57%
Draw20%
Ansbach win23%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

VenueSachs-Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

FC Schweinfurt 05

Ansbach

4Days since last match3
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
14FC Schweinfurt 0512−813
17Ansbach12−1610

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc schweinfurt 05 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
57% The market38%
Us57%
Market38%

We make FC Schweinfurt 05 a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 19 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1811 OCT 04:03
Our probability · fc schweinfurt 05 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 58%, 57% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC Schweinfurt 05 win57%38%+19
Draw20%24%−4
Ansbach win23%38%−15
Over 2.5 goals68%59%+8
Both teams to score64%62%+3
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals47%37%+10
FC Schweinfurt 05 or draw77%62%+15
FC Schweinfurt 05 clean sheet27%––
Ansbach clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 3.2 4.0 2.7 1 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.5 2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.7 3 5.2 6.7 4.4 4 2.9 3.7 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FC Schweinfurt 05 down, Ansbach across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsFCS 1–2 ANS · ANS 0–2 FCS · ANS 3–1 FCS · FCS 2–0 ANS

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern

FC SCHWEINFURT 05

LLLLDD2–5 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

ANSBACH

WDWWLL1–0 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Buchbach13+1428
2Memmingen13+827
3TSV 1860 München12+1121
4SpVgg Unterhaching12+521
5Eichstätt13−121
6Bayreuth13+719
7Illertissen12+519
8Wacker Burghausen13+718
9Vilzing12017
10Nürnberg II12+516
11Bayern München II12+216
12Eltersdorf12+116
13Augsburg II12−815
14FC Schweinfurt 0512−813
15Greuther Fürth II12−312
16Schwaben Augsburg13−1212
17Ansbach12−1610
18Aubstadt12−69
19Landsberg12−118

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.