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Eichstätt v Vilzing
Eichstätt
VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Eichstätt win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Eichstätt 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Eichstätt v Vilzing
- 11′10′ and it is 0–1: M. Ziereis on the scoresheet for Vilzing. 0–1 · 17–23–60
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Eichstätt 0–1 Vilzing
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Eichstätt win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
- 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Vilzing win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Eichstätt win 17%)
- 12′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–23–60
- 25′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 13–24–63
- 32′Vilzing find the net on 31′. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–87
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Eichstätt 0–2 Vilzing
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Eichstätt win: 41% at kick-off, 3% now
- 33′Vilzing ahead on 29′ through M. Ziereis. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–87
- 34′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 45′E. Herger scores for Eichstätt on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 10–23–67
- 45′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 10–23–67
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Eichstätt 1–2 Vilzing
- 45′HALF-TIME Eichstätt 1–2 Vilzing
- 46′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–67
- 46′SECOND HALF Eichstätt 1–2 Vilzing
- 50′50′ and it is 2–2: Eichstätt have scored. 2–2 · 31–43–25
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Eichstätt 2–2 Vilzing
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Eichstätt win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Vilzing win 25%)
- 52′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 30–45–25
- 52′Little has changed for our model: Eichstätt 41% before kick-off, 30% now. 2–2 · 30–45–25
- 55′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
- 65′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–56–20
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Eichstätt win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
- 73′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–65–16
- 78′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–12
- 78′Vilzing find the net on 78′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–86
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Eichstätt 2–3 Vilzing
- 79′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–12–86
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Eichstätt win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Vilzing win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
- 81′We said Eichstätt at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–3 · 1–11–89
- FTFULL TIME Eichstätt 2–3 Vilzing
- FTEichstätt 2–3 Vilzing · Eichstätt win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
Eichstätt win41%
Vilzing win32%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00
Match timeline
All events
EichstättMIN
VilzingEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Eichstätt
Vilzing
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Eichstätt a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.
Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eichstätt win | 41% | 42% | 0 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Vilzing win | 32% | 32% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 57% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 60% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 78% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 36% | −11 |
| Eichstätt or draw | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Eichstätt clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Vilzing clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern
EICHSTÄTT
VILZING
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 13 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 13 | +8 | 27 |
| 3 | TSV 1860 München | 12 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | Eichstätt | 13 | −1 | 21 |
| 6 | Bayreuth | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Illertissen | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 8 | Wacker Burghausen | 13 | +7 | 18 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Nürnberg II | 12 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Bayern München II | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 12 | Eltersdorf | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Augsburg II | 12 | −8 | 15 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 12 | −8 | 13 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth II | 12 | −3 | 12 |
| 16 | Schwaben Augsburg | 13 | −12 | 12 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 12 | −16 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 12 | −6 | 9 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 12 | −11 | 8 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Buchbach
Memmingen
TSV 1860 München
SpVgg Unterhaching
Bayreuth
Illertissen
Wacker Burghausen
Nürnberg II
Bayern München II
Eltersdorf
Augsburg II
FC Schweinfurt 05
Greuther Fürth II
Schwaben Augsburg
Ansbach
Aubstadt
Landsberg