Eichstätt v TSV 1860 München prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EichstättDrawTSV 1860 München

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Eichstätt 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Eichstätt just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Eichstätt 38%, draw 25%, TSV 1860 München 37%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Eichstätt v TSV 1860 MünchenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Eichstätt win38%

Draw25%

TSV 1860 München win37%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundBayern · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eichstätt

TSV 1860 München

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eichstätt winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

38% The market40%

Us38%

~~Market~~40%

We make Eichstätt a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eichstätt v TSV 1860 München~~1.44 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 21 v 24~~9 v 4

~~The market · Eichstätt win~~40% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eichstätt win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eichstätt win	38%	40%	−2
Draw	25%	24%	+1
TSV 1860 München win	37%	36%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%	−5
Both teams to score	57%	62%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	37%	−4
Eichstätt or draw	63%	64%	−1
Eichstätt clean sheet	24%	–	–
TSV 1860 München clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.1 8.0 5.8 2.8 1 8.1 11.6 8.1 3.9 2 5.9 8.2 5.8 2.8 3 2.9 4.0 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eichstätt down, TSV 1860 München across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,822 Regionalliga - Bayern matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Bayern matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 141 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Eichstätt at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). TSV 1860 München away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Eichstätt, 1.43 for TSV 1860 München. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept

EICHSTÄTT

WDWLLL3–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–3

TSV 1860 MÜNCHEN

WLWDWL2–0 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Memmingen	16	+10	33
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	14	+9	25
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
5	Augsburg II	15	−1	24
6	Illertissen	15	+8	23
7	Bayreuth	15	+8	22
8	Vilzing	14	+1	21
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20
11	Nürnberg II	14	+6	20
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	−9	18
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	−10	17
16	Greuther Fürth II	15	−6	13
17	Ansbach	14	−16	12
18	Aubstadt	15	−7	11
19	Landsberg	15	−16	9