Bayreuth v Eichstätt

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bayreuth win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Bayreuth was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bayreuth v Eichstätt
4. 36′Eichstätt score on 35′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–65
5. 36′We said Bayreuth at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–23–65
6. 36′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 12–23–65
7. 36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Bayreuth 0–1 Eichstätt
8. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 12% now
9. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Eichstätt win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Bayreuth win 12%)
10. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Bayreuth 0–1 Eichstätt
12. 46′We said Bayreuth at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
13. 46′SECOND HALF Bayreuth 0–1 Eichstätt
14. 52′Bayreuth find the net on 52′. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–45–25
15. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Bayreuth 1–1 Eichstätt
16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Eichstätt win 25%)
18. 54′Bayreuth level it on 48′ through D. Latifovic. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–46–24
19. 55′We said Bayreuth at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
20. 56′A goal for Bayreuth on 56′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 76–19–5
21. 56′We published Bayreuth at 41%. Our model now makes it 76%. 2–1 · 76–19–5
22. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Bayreuth 2–1 Eichstätt
23. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 76% now
24. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Bayreuth win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
25. 57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 77–19–5
26. 65′We published Bayreuth at 41%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
28. 71′Bayreuth score on 70′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
29. 71′We published Bayreuth at 41%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
30. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Bayreuth 3–1 Eichstätt
31. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Bayreuth win: 41% at kick-off, 98% now
32. 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
33. 74′69′: D. Schmidt on the scoresheet for Bayreuth, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 98–1–0
34. 82′We published Bayreuth at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
35. FTFULL TIME Bayreuth 3–1 Eichstätt
36. FTBayreuth 3–1 Eichstätt · Bayreuth win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.