Bayern München II v Vilzing prediction · Regionalliga

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Bayern München II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bayern München II 48%, draw 24%, Vilzing 29%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Bayern München II v VilzingBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Bayern München II win48%

Draw24%

Vilzing win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundBayern · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bayern München II

Vilzing

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Vilzing	14	+1	21
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bayern münchen ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · postponed, not graded

48% The market49%

Us48%

~~Market~~49%

We make Bayern München II a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bayern München II v Vilzing~~1.75 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 15 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 21~~12 v 7

~~The market · Bayern München II win~~49% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bayern München II win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bayern München II win	48%	49%	−1
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Vilzing win	29%	26%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	59%	63%	−4
Both teams to score	60%	64%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	81%	81%	0
Over 3.5 goals	37%	43%	−6
Bayern München II or draw	71%	74%	−3
Bayern München II clean sheet	27%	–	–
Vilzing clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.0 6.1 4.1 1 8.1 10.7 6.9 3.1 2 7.2 9.2 6.0 2.6 3 4.2 5.4 3.5 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bayern München II down, Vilzing across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,818 Regionalliga - Bayern matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Bayern matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.9% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bayern München II at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Vilzing away: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Bayern München II, 1.31 for Vilzing. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAY 1–0 VIL · VIL 1–0 BAY · VIL 3–0 BAY · BAY 1–1 VIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 15 Sept

BAYERN MÜNCHEN II

DWWDDW0–0 · 2–0 · 4–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–2

VILZING

DDLDWD1–1 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Memmingen	16	+10	33
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	14	+9	25
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
5	Illertissen	14	+9	23
6	Bayreuth	15	+8	22
7	Vilzing	14	+1	21
8	Augsburg II	14	−2	21
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20
11	Nürnberg II	13	+6	19
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	−10	17
15	Schwaben Augsburg	14	−11	15
16	Greuther Fürth II	14	−4	13
17	Ansbach	14	−16	12
18	Aubstadt	14	−7	10
19	Landsberg	15	−16	9