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Augsburg II v FC Schweinfurt 05

Augsburg II
3–0Full time
FC Schweinfurt 05

Regionalliga - Bayern · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
Augsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 AUGSBURG II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Augsburg II win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.519

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Augsburg II win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Augsburg II 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Augsburg II v FC Schweinfurt 05
  4. 5′A goal for Augsburg II on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–18–17
  5. 5′We said Augsburg II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–18–17
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Augsburg II 1–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Augsburg II win: 42% at kick-off, 65% now
  8. 19′Augsburg II score on 18′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 85–10–5
  9. 19′We said Augsburg II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–0 · 85–10–5
  10. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' Augsburg II 2–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  11. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Augsburg II win: 42% at kick-off, 85% now
  12. 23′Augsburg II find the net on 22′. 3–0. 3–0 · 95–3–1
  13. 23′We said Augsburg II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–0 · 95–3–1
  14. 23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Augsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  15. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Augsburg II win: 42% at kick-off, 95% now
  16. 25′Augsburg II ahead on 26′ through N. Rasoulinia. 3–0. 3–0 · 95–3–1
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Augsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Augsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  19. 69′We said Augsburg II at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 70′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  21. FTFULL TIME Augsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05
  22. FTAugsburg II 3–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 · Augsburg II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Augsburg II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Augsburg II 42%, draw 23%, FC Schweinfurt 05 36%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Augsburg II v FC Schweinfurt 05Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Augsburg II win42%
Draw23%
FC Schweinfurt 05 win36%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundBayern · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Augsburg II

FC Schweinfurt 05

5Days since last match5

Last match: 13 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 13 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Augsburg II13−518
15FC Schweinfurt 0513−814

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · augsburg ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:41 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Augsburg II a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Augsburg II v FC Schweinfurt 051.75 – 1.60
Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 12 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 18 v 1412 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 12 OCT 04:0218 OCT 12:43
Our probability · Augsburg II win

Published at 39%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Augsburg II win42%––
Draw23%––
FC Schweinfurt 05 win36%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals43%––
Augsburg II or draw64%––
Augsburg II clean sheet21%––
FC Schweinfurt 05 clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%
0123450 3.8 5.6 4.5 2.4 1 6.1 9.8 7.7 4.1 2 5.4 8.4 6.6 3.6 3 3.2 4.9 3.9 2.1 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Augsburg II down, FC Schweinfurt 05 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsFCS 2–0 AUG · AUG 2–6 FCS · FCS 1–0 AUG · AUG 2–1 FCS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 12 Sept

AUGSBURG II

LDLWLW0–3 · 0–0 · 2–5 · 3–0 · 0–3 · 4–1

FC SCHWEINFURT 05

LLLDDD0–1 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Memmingen15+830
2Buchbach15+728
3SpVgg Unterhaching14+925
4TSV 1860 München13+1224
5Illertissen14+923
6Bayreuth15+822
7Vilzing14+121
8Eichstätt15−421
9Wacker Burghausen14+719
10Nürnberg II13+619
11Eltersdorf14+118
12Augsburg II13−518
13Bayern München II12+216
14Schwaben Augsburg14−1115
15FC Schweinfurt 0513−814
16Greuther Fürth II14−413
17Ansbach14−1612
18Aubstadt14−710
19Landsberg14−159

The competition's standings before kick-off.