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Aubstadt v Illertissen
AubstadtIllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Illertissen win at 44%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Aubstadt v Illertissen
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Illertissen 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
- 45′HALF-TIME Aubstadt 0–0 Illertissen
- 46′SECOND HALF Aubstadt 0–0 Illertissen
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Illertissen win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Illertissen win 34%)
- 54′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 25–43–32
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–43–32
- 61′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–48–29
- 69′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–57–24
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Illertissen win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
- 75′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–65–19
- 81′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 11–76–13
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Illertissen win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
- 84′We said Illertissen at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
- FTFULL TIME Aubstadt 0–0 Illertissen
- FTAubstadt 0–0 Illertissen · Illertissen win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 17:01 · locked at kick-off
Aubstadt win31%Illertissen win44%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 17:30
Match timeline
All events
AubstadtMINIllertissenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Aubstadt
Illertissen
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Illertissen | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 12 | −6 | 9 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Illertissen a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt win | 31% | 28% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −2 |
| Illertissen win | 44% | 45% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 59% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Aubstadt or draw | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Aubstadt clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Illertissen clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern
AUBSTADT
ILLERTISSEN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buchbach | 13 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |  Memmingen | 13 | +8 | 27 |
| 3 |  TSV 1860 München | 12 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  SpVgg Unterhaching | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Eichstätt | 13 | −1 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bayreuth | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 | Illertissen | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 8 |  Wacker Burghausen | 13 | +7 | 18 |
| 9 |  Vilzing | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 |  Nürnberg II | 12 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bayern München II | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 12 |  Eltersdorf | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Augsburg II | 12 | −8 | 15 |
| 14 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 12 | −8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Greuther Fürth II | 12 | −3 | 12 |
| 16 |  Schwaben Augsburg | 13 | −12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Ansbach | 12 | −16 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 12 | −6 | 9 |
| 19 |  Landsberg | 12 | −11 | 8 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.