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Ansbach v Nürnberg II
Regionalliga - Bayern · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Nürnberg II win at 56%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Nürnberg II was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 23–21–56
- 1′KICK-OFF Ansbach v Nürnberg II
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Ansbach 0–1 Nürnberg II
- 41′Nürnberg II find the net on 38′. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–16–77
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Nürnberg II win: 56% at kick-off, 77% now
- 45′We published Nürnberg II at 56%. Our model now makes it 77%. 0–1 · 6–16–77
- 45′HALF-TIME Ansbach 0–1 Nürnberg II
- 48′SECOND HALF Ansbach 0–1 Nürnberg II
- 64′We published Nürnberg II at 56%. Our model now makes it 81%. 0–1 · 3–16–81
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 38' Ansbach 0–1 Nürnberg II · E. Rau
- 85′We published Nürnberg II at 56%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–1 · 0–6–94
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Nürnberg II win: 56% at kick-off, 94% now
- FTFULL TIME Ansbach 0–1 Nürnberg II
- FTAnsbach 0–1 Nürnberg II · Nürnberg II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Nürnberg II a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–2.2.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 45% to 57% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ansbach win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | −1 |
| Nürnberg II win | 56% | 57% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 85% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 47% | −1 |
| Ansbach or draw | 44% | 43% | +2 |
| Ansbach clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
| Nürnberg II clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern
ANSBACH
NÜRNBERG II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buchbach | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 2 |  Memmingen | 12 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 |  SpVgg Unterhaching | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |  Eichstätt | 12 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  TSV 1860 München | 11 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Illertissen | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 |  Wacker Burghausen | 12 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bayreuth | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Bayern München II | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Eltersdorf | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Vilzing | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 |  Augsburg II | 12 | −8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nürnberg II | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 12 | −8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | −9 | 12 |
| 16 |  Greuther Fürth II | 11 | −3 | 11 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | −15 | 10 |
| 18 |  Aubstadt | 11 | −6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Landsberg | 11 | −11 | 7 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.