Verl II v Victoria Clarholz prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Verl IIDrawVictoria Clarholz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Verl II 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Verl II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Verl II 45%, draw 22%, Victoria Clarholz 32%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Verl II v Victoria ClarholzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Verl II win45%

Draw22%

Victoria Clarholz win32%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundWestfalen · matchday 12

VenueSportclub Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Verl II

Victoria Clarholz

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Verl II	11	+1	14
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · verl ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Verl II a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Verl II v Victoria Clarholz~~1.92 – 1.59

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 14 v 8~~12 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Verl II win	45%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Victoria Clarholz win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Verl II or draw	68%	–	–
Verl II clean sheet	21%	–	–
Victoria Clarholz clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.5 4.9 3.9 2.1 1 5.9 9.2 7.1 3.7 2 5.6 8.4 6.6 3.5 3 3.5 5.3 4.2 2.2 4 2.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Verl II down, Victoria Clarholz across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,695 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Verl II at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Victoria Clarholz away: 2.83 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.92 goals for Verl II, 1.59 for Victoria Clarholz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VER 2–2 VIC · VIC 0–1 VER · VIC 2–1 VER · VER 3–1 VIC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept

VERL II

DDWLLL1–1 · 2–2 · 6–0 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–1

VICTORIA CLARHOLZ

LLDLLL2–4 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Maaslingen	11	+7	22
4	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
5	Lippstadt 08	12	+2	20
6	ASC Dortmund	11	+6	19
7	Sprockhovel	11	+9	18
8	Arminia II	11	+5	18
9	Erkenschwick	11	+4	18
10	Preußen Münster II	11	+2	15
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	−3	15
12	Verl II	11	+1	14
13	Hiltrup	11	−9	13
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	11	−7	12
15	TuS Hordel	11	−4	11
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	−4	8
17	Ennepetal	11	−12	8
18	Schermbeck	12	−19	2