Schermbeck v Lippstadt 08 prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 21:06

Schermbeck 1–2 Lippstadt 08 LIPPSTADT 08 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lippstadt 08 win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.398

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lippstadt 08 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Schermbeck 27%, draw 24%, Lippstadt 08 48%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Schermbeck v Lippstadt 08Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Schermbeck win27%

Draw24%

Lippstadt 08 win48%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00

RoundWestfalen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Schermbeck

Lippstadt 08

5Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Lippstadt 08	11	+1	17
18	Schermbeck	11	−18	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lippstadt 08 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Lippstadt 08 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Schermbeck v Lippstadt 08~~1.17 – 1.66

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 17~~18 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Lippstadt 08 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Schermbeck win	27%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Lippstadt 08 win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Schermbeck or draw	52%	–	–
Schermbeck clean sheet	20%	–	–
Lippstadt 08 clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 6.4 9.7 8.1 4.5 1 6.8 11.4 9.1 5.1 2.2 2 4.1 6.6 5.4 3.0 3 2.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Schermbeck down, Lippstadt 08 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,694 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Schermbeck at home: 0.67 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Lippstadt 08 away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Schermbeck, 1.66 for Lippstadt 08. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~LIP 2–1 SCH · SCH 0–2 LIP · LIP 6–1 SCH · SCH 1–2 LIP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept

SCHERMBECK

LLLDLL1–3 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–3

LIPPSTADT 08

WLLWLD2–1 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 5–3 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Maaslingen	11	+7	22
4	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
5	ASC Dortmund	11	+6	19
6	Sprockhovel	11	+9	18
7	Arminia II	11	+5	18
8	Erkenschwick	11	+4	18
9	Lippstadt 08	11	+1	17
10	Preußen Münster II	11	+2	15
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	−3	15
12	Verl II	11	+1	14
13	Hiltrup	11	−9	13
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	11	−7	12
15	TuS Hordel	11	−4	11
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	−4	8
17	Ennepetal	11	−12	8
18	Schermbeck	11	−18	2