Preußen Münster II v Verl II prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Preußen Münster II 1–0 Verl II PREUSSEN MÜNSTER II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Preußen Münster II win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.246

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Preußen Münster II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Preußen Münster II 59%, draw 20%, Verl II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Preußen Münster II v Verl IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Preußen Münster II win59%

Draw20%

Verl II win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundWestfalen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Preußen Münster II

Verl II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Verl II	10	+2	14
12	Preußen Münster II	10	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · preußen münster ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Preußen Münster II a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Preußen Münster II v Verl II~~2.33 – 1.32

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 12 v 14~~12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Preußen Münster II win	59%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Verl II win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Preußen Münster II or draw	79%	–	–
Preußen Münster II clean sheet	27%	–	–
Verl II clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.0 3.5 2.4 1 6.1 8.1 5.2 2.3 2 7.1 9.0 5.9 2.6 3 5.4 6.9 4.5 2.0 4 3.2 4.1 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Preußen Münster II down, Verl II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,687 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.3% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Preußen Münster II at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Verl II away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.33 goals for Preußen Münster II, 1.32 for Verl II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PRE 4–1 VER · VER 1–1 PRE · PRE 3–3 VER · VER 7–0 PRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 4 Sept

PREUSSEN MÜNSTER II

LDLWWL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–3

VERL II

LDDWLL2–5 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 6–0 · 1–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
4	Maaslingen	10	+5	19
5	Erkenschwick	10	+5	18
6	Sprockhovel	10	+9	17
7	Lippstadt 08	11	+1	17
8	ASC Dortmund	10	+5	16
9	Arminia II	10	+3	15
10	Westfalia Kinderhaus	10	−1	15
11	Verl II	10	+2	14
12	Preußen Münster II	10	+1	12
13	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	10	−5	12
14	TuS Hordel	10	−4	10
15	Hiltrup	10	−11	10
16	Victoria Clarholz	10	−2	8
17	Ennepetal	10	−14	5
18	Schermbeck	10	−16	2