Maaslingen v Schermbeck prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Maaslingen 3–1 Schermbeck MAASLINGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Maaslingen win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.268

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maaslingen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maaslingen 58%, draw 21%, Schermbeck 21%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Maaslingen v SchermbeckBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Maaslingen win58%

Draw21%

Schermbeck win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundWestfalen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maaslingen

Schermbeck

7Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

Last match: 14 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Maaslingen	10	+5	19
18	Schermbeck	10	−16	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maaslingen winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:47 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Maaslingen a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Maaslingen v Schermbeck~~2.12 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 19 v 2~~4 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Maaslingen win

Published at 59%, 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Maaslingen win	58%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Schermbeck win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Maaslingen or draw	79%	–	–
Maaslingen clean sheet	31%	–	–
Schermbeck clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%

0123450 4.0 4.3 2.7 1 7.6 9.3 5.5 2.3 2 8.0 9.4 5.6 2.3 3 5.6 6.6 4.0 4 3.1 3.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Maaslingen down, Schermbeck across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,687 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.3% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Maaslingen at home: 2.80 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). Schermbeck away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Maaslingen, 1.21 for Schermbeck. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 6 Sept

MAASLINGEN

WWWLLW2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 1–0

SCHERMBECK

DLLLDL1–1 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
4	Maaslingen	10	+5	19
5	Erkenschwick	10	+5	18
6	Sprockhovel	10	+9	17
7	Lippstadt 08	11	+1	17
8	ASC Dortmund	10	+5	16
9	Arminia II	10	+3	15
10	Westfalia Kinderhaus	10	−1	15
11	Verl II	10	+2	14
12	Preußen Münster II	10	+1	12
13	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	10	−5	12
14	TuS Hordel	10	−4	10
15	Hiltrup	10	−11	10
16	Victoria Clarholz	10	−2	8
17	Ennepetal	10	−14	5
18	Schermbeck	10	−16	2