Hiltrup v Preußen Münster II prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HiltrupDrawPreußen Münster II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Preußen Münster II 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Preußen Münster II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hiltrup 27%, draw 23%, Preußen Münster II 50%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Hiltrup v Preußen Münster IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Hiltrup win27%

Draw23%

Preußen Münster II win50%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundWestfalen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hiltrup

Preußen Münster II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Preußen Münster II	11	+2	15
13	Hiltrup	11	−9	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · preußen münster ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Preußen Münster II a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hiltrup v Preußen Münster II~~1.26 – 1.79

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 15~~13 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hiltrup win	27%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Preußen Münster II win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Hiltrup or draw	50%	–	–
Hiltrup clean sheet	17%	–	–
Preußen Münster II clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.2 8.5 7.6 4.6 2.1 1 5.9 10.7 9.2 5.5 2.5 2 3.8 6.6 5.8 3.4 3 2.8 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hiltrup down, Preußen Münster II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,695 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 6.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hiltrup at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Preußen Münster II away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Hiltrup, 1.79 for Preußen Münster II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HIL 1–2 PRE · PRE 5–4 HIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept

HILTRUP

LLWLWW1–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 2–0

PREUSSEN MÜNSTER II

DLWWLW1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Maaslingen	11	+7	22
4	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
5	Lippstadt 08	12	+2	20
6	ASC Dortmund	11	+6	19
7	Sprockhovel	11	+9	18
8	Arminia II	11	+5	18
9	Erkenschwick	11	+4	18
10	Preußen Münster II	11	+2	15
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	−3	15
12	Verl II	11	+1	14
13	Hiltrup	11	−9	13
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	11	−7	12
15	TuS Hordel	11	−4	11
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	−4	8
17	Ennepetal	11	−12	8
18	Schermbeck	12	−19	2