ASC Dortmund v Westfalia Kinderhaus prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ASC DortmundDrawWestfalia Kinderhaus

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:15

Before kick-off · Match result · ASC Dortmund 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ASC Dortmund are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ASC Dortmund 64%, draw 19%, Westfalia Kinderhaus 18%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on ASC Dortmund v Westfalia KinderhausBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

ASC Dortmund win64%

Draw19%

Westfalia Kinderhaus win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:15

RoundWestfalen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ASC Dortmund

Westfalia Kinderhaus

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Westfalen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	ASC Dortmund	11	+6	19
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	−3	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asc dortmund winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make ASC Dortmund a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ASC Dortmund v Westfalia Kinderhaus~~2.36 – 1.15

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 15~~6 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ASC Dortmund win	64%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Westfalia Kinderhaus win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
ASC Dortmund or draw	82%	–	–
ASC Dortmund clean sheet	32%	–	–
Westfalia Kinderhaus clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.4 3.5 2.1 1 7.1 8.2 4.6 2 8.3 9.2 5.3 2.1 3 6.4 7.2 4.1 4 3.8 4.3 2.5 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+ASC Dortmund down, Westfalia Kinderhaus across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,695 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

ASC Dortmund at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Westfalia Kinderhaus away: 1.80 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.36 goals for ASC Dortmund, 1.15 for Westfalia Kinderhaus. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen this season · since 13 Sept

ASC DORTMUND

WDWLWW4–1 · 3–3 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–0

WESTFALIA KINDERHAUS

LWDDWL1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	11	+8	23
2	Vreden	11	+7	23
3	Maaslingen	11	+7	22
4	Eintracht Rheine	11	+7	20
5	Lippstadt 08	12	+2	20
6	ASC Dortmund	11	+6	19
7	Sprockhovel	11	+9	18
8	Arminia II	11	+5	18
9	Erkenschwick	11	+4	18
10	Preußen Münster II	11	+2	15
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	−3	15
12	Verl II	11	+1	14
13	Hiltrup	11	−9	13
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	11	−7	12
15	TuS Hordel	11	−4	11
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	−4	8
17	Ennepetal	11	−12	8
18	Schermbeck	12	−19	2