Arminia II v Preußen Münster II prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Arminia II 3–2 Preußen Münster II PREUSSEN MÜNSTER II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Preußen Münster II win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.637

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Arminia II win36%

Draw24%

Preußen Münster II win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Arminia II

Preußen Münster II

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Arminia II	9	+2	12
11	Preußen Münster II	9	+2	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · preußen münster ii winPublished 11 Oct 16:29

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Preußen Münster II a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Arminia II win	36%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Preußen Münster II win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Arminia II or draw	59%	–	–
Arminia II clean sheet	19%	–	–
Preußen Münster II clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.6 6.5 5.6 3.2 1 6.0 10.5 8.4 4.7 2.0 2 4.8 7.8 6.4 3.6 3 2.5 4.1 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Arminia II down, Preußen Münster II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,676 Oberliga - Westfalen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Westfalen matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Arminia II at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Preußen Münster II away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Arminia II, 1.68 for Preußen Münster II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ARM 1–5 PRE · PRE 3–0 ARM

Form · last six in Oberliga - Westfalen

ARMINIA II

LWDLWD0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

PREUSSEN MÜNSTER II

DLDLWW2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gievenbeck	10	+8	22
2	Vreden	9	+6	19
3	Eintracht Rheine	9	+7	18
4	Erkenschwick	9	+6	18
5	Maaslingen	9	+4	16
6	Lippstadt 08	9	+2	16
7	Sprockhovel	9	+8	14
8	Verl II	9	+3	14
9	ASC Dortmund	9	+4	13
10	Arminia II	9	+2	12
11	Preußen Münster II	9	+2	12
12	Westfalia Kinderhaus	9	−2	12
13	TuS Hordel	9	−3	10
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	9	−6	9
15	Victoria Clarholz	9	−1	8
16	Hiltrup	9	−12	7
17	Ennepetal	9	−13	5
18	Schermbeck	8	−15	1