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Rotenhof v Rapid Lubeck

Rotenhof

5–2Full time

Rapid Lubeck

Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Rotenhof 5–2 Rapid Lubeck ROTENHOF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rotenhof win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.522

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rotenhof win42%

Draw21%

Rapid Lubeck win37%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rotenhof winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Rotenhof a 42% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rotenhof win	42%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Rapid Lubeck win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Rotenhof or draw	63%	–	–
Rotenhof clean sheet	14%	–	–
Rapid Lubeck clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.3%

0123450 2.2 3.2 3.4 2.3 1 3.4 7.3 6.8 4.5 2.3 2 3.8 7.2 7.0 4.6 2.3 3 2.6 5.0 4.8 3.2 4 2.7 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rotenhof down, Rapid Lubeck across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,206 Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.8% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Rotenhof at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Rapid Lubeck away: 3.00 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.10 goals for Rotenhof, 1.98 for Rapid Lubeck. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

ROTENHOF

LDWWWW0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 3–1 · 1–0

RAPID LUBECK

LLWDWL0–5 · 2–3 · 6–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Holstein Kiel II	11	+25	26
2	VfR Neumünster	11	+15	24
3	Kilia Kiel	11	+11	21
4	TSB Flensburg	11	+17	20
5	Rotenhof	11	+3	19
6	Rapid Lubeck	11	+1	19
7	Oldenburger SV	11	+6	17
8	Heider SV	11	−12	14
9	SV Eichede	11	+4	13
10	Phönix L. II	11	−2	13
11	Union Neumünster	11	−3	13
12	Nordmark Satrup	11	−10	11
13	Lübeck II	11	−13	10
14	Eckernförder SV	11	−15	9
15	Kaltenkirchen	11	−17	8
16	Hohenwestedt	11	−10	7