Rotenhof v Kaltenkirchen prediction · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Rotenhof 2–2 Kaltenkirchen ROTENHOF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rotenhof win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.969

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rotenhof are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rotenhof 50%, draw 21%, Kaltenkirchen 29%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Rotenhof v KaltenkirchenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Rotenhof win50%

Draw21%

Kaltenkirchen win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundSchleswig-Holstein · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rotenhof

Kaltenkirchen

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Rotenhof	13	+1	22
16	Kaltenkirchen	13	−20	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rotenhof winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Rotenhof a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rotenhof v Kaltenkirchen~~2.24 – 1.67

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 22 v 8~~5 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rotenhof win

Published at 52%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rotenhof win	50%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Kaltenkirchen win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Rotenhof or draw	71%	–	–
Rotenhof clean sheet	19%	–	–
Kaltenkirchen clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.4 3.2 2.9 1 4.4 7.8 6.2 3.5 2 5.1 8.2 6.8 3.8 3 3.8 6.1 5.0 2.8 4 2.1 3.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rotenhof down, Kaltenkirchen across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.6% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rotenhof at home: 2.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kaltenkirchen away: 2.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.24 goals for Rotenhof, 1.67 for Kaltenkirchen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ROT 1–0 KAL · KAL 2–1 ROT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 12 Sept

ROTENHOF

WWWWWL2–1 · 4–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 5–2 · 0–5

KALTENKIRCHEN

LLLLLL2–6 · 0–7 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Holstein Kiel II	13	+31	32
2	VfR Neumünster	12	+16	27
3	Kilia Kiel	13	+15	27
4	TSB Flensburg	13	+18	23
5	Rotenhof	13	+1	22
6	Heider SV	13	−6	20
7	Union Neumünster	13	+6	19
8	Rapid Lubeck	13	−8	19
9	Oldenburger SV	12	+6	18
10	SV Eichede	13	+9	17
11	Phönix L. II	13	−4	14
12	Nordmark Satrup	13	−15	11
13	Hohenwestedt	13	−10	10
14	Eckernförder SV	13	−19	10
15	Lübeck II	13	−20	10
16	Kaltenkirchen	13	−20	8