Rapid Lubeck v Union Neumünster prediction · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Rapid Lubeck 1–7 Union Neumünster UNION NEUMÜNSTER WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Union Neumünster win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.434

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Union Neumünster are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rapid Lubeck 34%, draw 19%, Union Neumünster 47%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 80%.

The AI’s read on Rapid Lubeck v Union NeumünsterBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rapid Lubeck win34%

Draw19%

Union Neumünster win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundSchleswig-Holstein · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rapid Lubeck

Union Neumünster

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Rapid Lubeck	12	−2	19
9	Union Neumünster	12	0	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union neumünster winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Union Neumünster a 47% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–2.5, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rapid Lubeck v Union Neumünster~~2.12 – 2.49

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 16~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rapid Lubeck win	34%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Union Neumünster win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	80%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	67%	–	–
Rapid Lubeck or draw	53%	–	–
Rapid Lubeck clean sheet	9%	–	–
Union Neumünster clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.6%

0123450 2.5 3.2 2.6 1 2.1 5.6 6.5 5.3 3.3 2 2.3 5.5 6.6 5.4 3.4 3 3.9 4.7 3.8 2.4 4 2.1 2.5 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rapid Lubeck down, Union Neumünster across0–5 goals a side shown (92.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,214 Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches have gone over 2.5 in 80.2% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Rapid Lubeck at home: 1.50 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Union Neumünster away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Rapid Lubeck, 2.49 for Union Neumünster. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept

RAPID LUBECK

LWDWLL2–3 · 6–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 0–5 · 2–5

UNION NEUMÜNSTER

DLDWLW0–0 · 2–4 · 3–3 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Holstein Kiel II	12	+26	29
2	VfR Neumünster	11	+15	24
3	Kilia Kiel	12	+13	24
4	Rotenhof	12	+6	22
5	TSB Flensburg	12	+16	20
6	Rapid Lubeck	12	−2	19
7	Oldenburger SV	12	+6	18
8	Heider SV	12	−10	17
9	Union Neumünster	12	0	16
10	SV Eichede	12	+4	14
11	Phönix L. II	13	−4	14
12	Nordmark Satrup	12	−13	11
13	Hohenwestedt	12	−9	10
14	Eckernförder SV	12	−15	10
15	Lübeck II	12	−15	10
16	Kaltenkirchen	12	−18	8