Oldenburger SV v VfR Neumünster prediction · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VfR Neumünster are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oldenburger SV 34%, draw 19%, VfR Neumünster 47%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 81%.

The AI’s read on Oldenburger SV v VfR NeumünsterBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off

Oldenburger SV win34%

Draw19%

VfR Neumünster win47%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundSchleswig-Holstein · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oldenburger SV

VfR Neumünster

3Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	VfR Neumünster	12	+16	27
9	Oldenburger SV	13	+5	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfr neumünster winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 21 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make VfR Neumünster a 47% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–2.6, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oldenburger SV v VfR Neumünster~~2.18 – 2.56

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 18 v 27~~9 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · VfR Neumünster win

Published at 25%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oldenburger SV win	34%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
VfR Neumünster win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	81%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	69%	–	–
Oldenburger SV or draw	53%	–	–
Oldenburger SV clean sheet	8%	–	–
VfR Neumünster clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.6%

0123450 2.2 2.9 2.5 1 5.2 6.2 5.2 3.3 2 2.2 5.3 6.6 5.5 3.6 3 3.8 4.8 4.0 2.6 4 2.1 2.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oldenburger SV down, VfR Neumünster across0–5 goals a side shown (92.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.6% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.83 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oldenburger SV at home: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). VfR Neumünster away: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.18 goals for Oldenburger SV, 2.56 for VfR Neumünster. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~VFR 3–1 OLD · OLD 0–4 VFR · VFR 2–1 OLD · OLD 3–1 VFR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept

OLDENBURGER SV

LDWWDL3–4 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 4–5

VFR NEUMÜNSTER

LWDDWW1–4 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Holstein Kiel II	13	+31	32
2	Kilia Kiel	14	+25	30
3	VfR Neumünster	12	+16	27
4	TSB Flensburg	13	+18	23
5	Rotenhof	14	+1	23
6	Heider SV	14	−4	23
7	Union Neumünster	13	+6	19
8	Rapid Lubeck	14	−18	19
9	Oldenburger SV	13	+5	18
10	SV Eichede	13	+9	17
11	Phönix L. II	14	−4	15
12	Hohenwestedt	14	−9	13
13	Nordmark Satrup	13	−15	11
14	Eckernförder SV	14	−19	11
15	Lübeck II	14	−22	10
16	Kaltenkirchen	14	−20	9