Oldenburger SV v Hohenwestedt prediction · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Oldenburger SV 4–5 Hohenwestedt OLDENBURGER SV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oldenburger SV win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.899

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oldenburger SV are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oldenburger SV 56%, draw 18%, Hohenwestedt 26%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 78%.

The AI’s read on Oldenburger SV v HohenwestedtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Oldenburger SV win56%

Draw18%

Hohenwestedt win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSchleswig-Holstein · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oldenburger SV

Hohenwestedt

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Oldenburger SV	12	+6	18
13	Hohenwestedt	13	−10	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oldenburger sv winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Oldenburger SV a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oldenburger SV v Hohenwestedt~~2.74 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 18 v 10~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oldenburger SV win	56%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Hohenwestedt win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	78%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	67%	–	–
Oldenburger SV or draw	74%	–	–
Oldenburger SV clean sheet	16%	–	–
Hohenwestedt clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.9%

0123450 1 2.7 5.4 4.8 3.0 2 3.8 6.9 6.3 3.9 3 3.5 6.2 5.7 3.5 4 2.4 4.3 3.9 2.4 5 2.4 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Oldenburger SV down, Hohenwestedt across0–5 goals a side shown (92.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.6% of games this season, across 103 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oldenburger SV at home: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hohenwestedt away: 1.67 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.74 goals for Oldenburger SV, 1.86 for Hohenwestedt. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~OLD 5–3 HOH · HOH 2–4 OLD · HOH 2–4 OLD · OLD 3–0 HOH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein this season · since 5 Sept

OLDENBURGER SV

LLDWWD0–3 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 4–0 · 2–2

HOHENWESTEDT

DLLLWL1–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Holstein Kiel II	13	+31	32
2	VfR Neumünster	12	+16	27
3	Kilia Kiel	13	+15	27
4	TSB Flensburg	13	+18	23
5	Rotenhof	13	+1	22
6	Heider SV	13	−6	20
7	Union Neumünster	13	+6	19
8	Rapid Lubeck	13	−8	19
9	Oldenburger SV	12	+6	18
10	SV Eichede	13	+9	17
11	Phönix L. II	13	−4	14
12	Nordmark Satrup	13	−15	11
13	Hohenwestedt	13	−10	10
14	Eckernförder SV	13	−19	10
15	Lübeck II	13	−20	10
16	Kaltenkirchen	13	−20	8