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Pirmasens v Elversberg II

Pirmasens

6–1Full time

Elversberg II

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

Pirmasens 6–1 Elversberg II PIRMASENS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pirmasens win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.056

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Pirmasens win81%

Draw12%

Elversberg II win7%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pirmasens winPublished 10 Oct 15:43

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Pirmasens a 81% chance to win. The model expects 3.3–0.9, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pirmasens win	81%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Elversberg II win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Pirmasens or draw	93%	–	–
Pirmasens clean sheet	41%	–	–
Elversberg II clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.6%

0123450 2.1 1 4.8 5.1 2.2 2 8.1 7.3 3.4 3 8.6 7.7 3.6 4 7.0 6.2 2.9 5 4.7 4.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Pirmasens down, Elversberg II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.7% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pirmasens at home: 3.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Elversberg II away: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.28 goals for Pirmasens, 0.92 for Elversberg II. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ELV 0–4 PIR · PIR 3–0 ELV

Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

PIRMASENS

LLWWDD1–2 · 2–3 · 6–3 · 6–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

ELVERSBERG II

DLDWLD2–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	12	+11	25
2	TuS Koblenz	11	+6	21
3	Schott Mainz	11	+12	20
4	Gau-Odernheim	10	+12	20
5	Gonsenheim	11	+13	19
6	Pirmasens	11	+11	18
7	FV Engers 07	11	+4	18
8	RW Wittlich	10	+7	17
9	Wormatia Worms	11	+6	17
10	TuS RW Koblenz	11	+5	17
11	Auersmacher	11	−3	15
12	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	11	−6	15
13	Cosmos Koblenz	11	−3	13
14	Elversberg II	11	−5	13
15	Hertha Wiesbach	11	−9	12
16	Ahrweiler	12	−11	7
17	Diefflen	11	−21	6
18	Eisbachtal	11	−29	1