Hertha Wiesbach v Schott Mainz prediction · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Hertha Wiesbach 0–2 Schott Mainz SCHOTT MAINZ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Schott Mainz win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.179

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Schott Mainz are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hertha Wiesbach 17%, draw 18%, Schott Mainz 65%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Hertha Wiesbach v Schott MainzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hertha Wiesbach win17%

Draw18%

Schott Mainz win65%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundRheinland-Pfalz/Saar · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hertha Wiesbach

Schott Mainz

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Schott Mainz	12	+13	23
12	Hertha Wiesbach	12	−6	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schott mainz winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Schott Mainz a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hertha Wiesbach v Schott Mainz~~1.30 – 2.68

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 9 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 23~~12 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hertha Wiesbach win	17%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Schott Mainz win	65%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Hertha Wiesbach or draw	35%	–	–
Hertha Wiesbach clean sheet	7%	–	–
Schott Mainz clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.4%

0123450 2.5 4.6 6.7 6.0 4.1 2.31 2.0 7.0 8.4 7.4 5.0 2.72 4.3 5.5 4.8 3.2 3 2.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hertha Wiesbach down, Schott Mainz across0–5 goals a side shown (93.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,583 Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 107 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Hertha Wiesbach at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Schott Mainz away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Hertha Wiesbach, 2.68 for Schott Mainz. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 9 Sept

HERTHA WIESBACH

DWWLDW1–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 4–1

SCHOTT MAINZ

WDLDDW5–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	12	+11	25
2	Schott Mainz	12	+13	23
3	Gonsenheim	12	+14	22
4	Pirmasens	12	+16	21
5	TuS Koblenz	12	+5	21
6	Gau-Odernheim	11	+10	20
7	TuS RW Koblenz	12	+9	20
8	FV Engers 07	12	+4	19
9	RW Wittlich	11	+7	18
10	Wormatia Worms	12	+6	18
11	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	12	−4	18
12	Hertha Wiesbach	12	−6	15
13	Auersmacher	12	−7	15
14	Cosmos Koblenz	12	−4	13
15	Elversberg II	12	−10	13
16	Ahrweiler	12	−11	7
17	Diefflen	12	−21	7
18	Eisbachtal	12	−32	1