Gonsenheim v Elversberg II prediction · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GonsenheimDrawElversberg II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Gonsenheim 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gonsenheim are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gonsenheim 64%, draw 19%, Elversberg II 17%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Gonsenheim v Elversberg IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Gonsenheim win64%

Draw19%

Elversberg II win17%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundRheinland-Pfalz/Saar · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gonsenheim

Elversberg II

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

Last match: 23 Oct · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Gonsenheim	14	+14	25
12	Elversberg II	14	−5	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gonsenheim winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Gonsenheim a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gonsenheim v Elversberg II~~2.47 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 17 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 25 v 19~~4 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gonsenheim win	64%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Elversberg II win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Gonsenheim or draw	83%	–	–
Gonsenheim clean sheet	31%	–	–
Elversberg II clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.4 2.5 1 5.8 8.2 4.5 2 7.8 9.0 5.4 2.2 3 6.4 7.3 4.4 4 4.0 4.6 2.7 5 2.1 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Gonsenheim down, Elversberg II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,600 Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.8% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Gonsenheim at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Elversberg II away: 1.50 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.47 goals for Gonsenheim, 1.19 for Elversberg II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 17 Sept

GONSENHEIM

DWWWWL0–0 · 2–0 · 6–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–3

ELVERSBERG II

WLDLWW2–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–6 · 3–0 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	14	+15	31
2	Schott Mainz	14	+17	29
3	Pirmasens	14	+21	27
4	Gonsenheim	14	+14	25
5	Gau-Odernheim	13	+9	23
6	TuS RW Koblenz	14	+8	23
7	FV Engers 07	13	+9	22
8	TuS Koblenz	13	+5	22
9	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	14	−2	22
10	Wormatia Worms	14	+11	21
11	RW Wittlich	13	+7	21
12	Elversberg II	14	−5	19
13	Hertha Wiesbach	14	−10	15
14	Auersmacher	14	−12	15
15	Cosmos Koblenz	14	−9	13
16	Ahrweiler	14	−14	8
17	Diefflen	14	−22	8
18	Eisbachtal	14	−42	1