FC Emmelshausen-Karbach v Hertha Wiesbach prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 4–2 Hertha Wiesbach FC EMMELSHAUSEN-KARBACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Emmelshausen-Karbach win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.244

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 60%, draw 19%, Hertha Wiesbach 21%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on FC Emmelshausen-Karbach v Hertha WiesbachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach win60%

Draw19%

Hertha Wiesbach win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundRheinland-Pfalz/Saar · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach

Hertha Wiesbach

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	13	−4	19
13	Hertha Wiesbach	13	−8	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc emmelshausen-karbach winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make FC Emmelshausen-Karbach a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Emmelshausen-Karbach v Hertha Wiesbach~~2.64 – 1.57

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 15~~11 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Emmelshausen-Karbach win	60%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Hertha Wiesbach win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
FC Emmelshausen-Karbach or draw	79%	–	–
FC Emmelshausen-Karbach clean sheet	21%	–	–
Hertha Wiesbach clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.0%

0123450 2.1 1 3.5 6.7 4.8 2.5 2 5.2 8.0 6.2 3.3 3 4.5 7.0 5.4 2.9 4 3.0 4.6 3.6 5 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Emmelshausen-Karbach down, Hertha Wiesbach across0–5 goals a side shown (93.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,593 Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.9% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hertha Wiesbach away: 1.67 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.64 goals for FC Emmelshausen-Karbach, 1.57 for Hertha Wiesbach. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCE 4–3 HER · HER 4–3 FCE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar this season · since 12 Sept

FC EMMELSHAUSEN-KARBACH

WLLDWD2–0 · 4–5 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0

HERTHA WIESBACH

WWLDWL2–0 · 3–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	13	+12	28
2	Schott Mainz	13	+15	26
3	Gonsenheim	13	+16	25
4	Pirmasens	13	+19	24
5	FV Engers 07	13	+9	22
6	TuS Koblenz	13	+5	22
7	Wormatia Worms	13	+13	21
8	RW Wittlich	12	+8	21
9	TuS RW Koblenz	13	+7	20
10	Gau-Odernheim	12	+5	20
11	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	13	−4	19
12	Elversberg II	14	−5	19
13	Hertha Wiesbach	13	−8	15
14	Auersmacher	14	−12	15
15	Cosmos Koblenz	13	−5	13
16	Ahrweiler	13	−14	7
17	Diefflen	13	−22	7
18	Eisbachtal	13	−39	1