Home › Football › Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar › Diefflen v Wormatia Worms

Diefflen v Wormatia Worms

Diefflen

3–3Full time

Wormatia Worms

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Diefflen 3–3 Wormatia Worms WORMATIA WORMS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wormatia Worms win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.988

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Diefflen win30%

Draw20%

Wormatia Worms win50%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wormatia worms winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Wormatia Worms a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Diefflen win	30%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Wormatia Worms win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	78%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	64%	–	–
Diefflen or draw	50%	–	–
Diefflen clean sheet	9%	–	–
Wormatia Worms clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.1%

0123450 2.7 3.8 3.2 1 2.0 6.4 7.1 5.8 3.7 2 2.3 5.6 6.7 5.5 3.5 3 3.6 4.3 3.5 2.2 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Diefflen down, Wormatia Worms across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.7% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Diefflen at home: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Wormatia Worms away: 2.17 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Diefflen, 2.49 for Wormatia Worms. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~8 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DIE 2–3 WOR · WOR 4–1 DIE · DIE 1–3 WOR · WOR 1–1 DIE

Form · last six in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

DIEFFLEN

LLLLDD0–2 · 0–4 · 0–7 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–1

WORMATIA WORMS

WDWLWD5–1 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	12	+11	25
2	TuS Koblenz	11	+6	21
3	Schott Mainz	11	+12	20
4	Gau-Odernheim	10	+12	20
5	Gonsenheim	11	+13	19
6	Pirmasens	11	+11	18
7	FV Engers 07	11	+4	18
8	RW Wittlich	10	+7	17
9	Wormatia Worms	11	+6	17
10	TuS RW Koblenz	11	+5	17
11	Auersmacher	11	−3	15
12	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	11	−6	15
13	Cosmos Koblenz	11	−3	13
14	Elversberg II	11	−5	13
15	Hertha Wiesbach	11	−9	12
16	Ahrweiler	12	−11	7
17	Diefflen	11	−21	6
18	Eisbachtal	11	−29	1