ZFC Meuselwitz v Plauen prediction · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

ZFC Meuselwitz 2–2 Plauen ZFC MEUSELWITZ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said ZFC Meuselwitz win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.802

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ZFC Meuselwitz are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ZFC Meuselwitz 40%, draw 27%, Plauen 33%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on ZFC Meuselwitz v PlauenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

ZFC Meuselwitz win40%

Draw27%

Plauen win33%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ZFC Meuselwitz

Plauen

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	7	+11	19
9	Plauen	7	+2	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zfc meuselwitz winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make ZFC Meuselwitz a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ZFC Meuselwitz v Plauen~~1.43 – 1.29

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 16 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 9~~2 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ZFC Meuselwitz win	40%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Plauen win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
ZFC Meuselwitz or draw	67%	–	–
ZFC Meuselwitz clean sheet	28%	–	–
Plauen clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 7.8 8.0 5.5 2.4 1 8.8 12.5 7.5 3.3 2 6.7 8.3 5.3 2.3 3 3.2 4.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ZFC Meuselwitz down, Plauen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,364 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.1% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ZFC Meuselwitz at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Plauen away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for ZFC Meuselwitz, 1.29 for Plauen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZFC 2–2 PLA · PLA 2–3 ZFC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 16 Aug

ZFC MEUSELWITZ

WWWWDW1–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 5–2 · 1–1 · 3–0

PLAUEN

LDDLWD0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	7	+19	19
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	7	+11	19
3	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
4	Auerbach	7	+8	14
5	VfL Halle	7	+1	12
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	SC Freital	8	+1	10
9	Plauen	7	+2	9
10	Budissa Bautzen	7	−3	9
11	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
12	Union Sandersdorf	7	+3	7
13	Krieschow	8	−13	5
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	7	−19	3