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Weissenfels v Dresden II

Weissenfels
2–1Full time
Dresden II

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Weissenfels 2–1 Dresden II DRESDEN II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dresden II win38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.617

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Dresden II just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Weissenfels 36%, draw 25%, Dresden II 38%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Weissenfels v Dresden IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Weissenfels win36%
Draw25%
Dresden II win38%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Weissenfels

Dresden II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Dresden II7+511
8Weissenfels7−29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dresden ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:41 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Dresden II a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Weissenfels v Dresden II1.46 – 1.51
Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 14 AugW2 D0 L4 · W1 D5 L0
Table places · points 9 v 118 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 12:18
Our probability · Dresden II win

Published at 37%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Weissenfels win36%––
Draw25%––
Dresden II win38%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
Weissenfels or draw62%––
Weissenfels clean sheet23%––
Dresden II clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.4 7.3 5.9 3.0 1 7.0 11.6 8.1 4.1 2 5.5 7.8 5.8 3.0 3 2.7 3.9 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Weissenfels down, Dresden II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 14 Aug

WEISSENFELS

WLLWLL1–0 · 2–3 · 0–4 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 0–2

DRESDEN II

DWDDDD1–1 · 5–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Germania Halberstadt7+1919
2ZFC Meuselwitz7+1119
3Eilenburg7+1516
4Auerbach7+814
5VfL Halle7+112
6Dresden II7+511
7Plauen7+29
8Weissenfels7−29
9Budissa Bautzen7−39
10Union Sandersdorf7+37
11SC Freital7−17
12Einheit Wernigerode7−67
13Krieschow7−115
14Empor Glauchau7−73
15FC Frankfurt7−193
16Einheit Rudolstadt7−152

The competition's standings before kick-off.