Home › Football › Oberliga - Nordost-Süd › Plauen v Union Sandersdorf

Plauen v Union Sandersdorf

Plauen

3–3Full time

Union Sandersdorf

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Plauen 3–3 Union Sandersdorf PLAUEN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Plauen win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.905

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Plauen win56%

Draw25%

Union Sandersdorf win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · plauen winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Plauen a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Plauen win	56%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Union Sandersdorf win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Plauen or draw	81%	–	–
Plauen clean sheet	43%	–	–
Union Sandersdorf clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 8.8 6.2 2.9 1 12.7 11.8 4.8 2 11.1 9.3 4.0 3 6.2 5.2 2.3 4 2.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Plauen down, Union Sandersdorf across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.25 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Plauen at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Union Sandersdorf away: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Plauen, 0.86 for Union Sandersdorf. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~UNI 2–2 PLA · PLA 1–1 UNI · UNI 0–1 PLA · PLA 4–1 UNI

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

PLAUEN

WLDDLW3–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

UNION SANDERSDORF

WLWLLL3–1 · 0–1 · 8–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	6	+16	16
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	6	+8	16
3	Eilenburg	6	+9	13
4	VfL Halle	6	+4	12
5	Auerbach	6	+4	11
6	Dresden II	6	+5	10
7	Weissenfels	6	0	9
8	Plauen	6	+2	8
9	Einheit Wernigerode	6	0	7
10	Union Sandersdorf	6	+3	6
11	SC Freital	6	−1	6
12	Budissa Bautzen	6	−5	6
13	Krieschow	6	−11	4
14	FC Frankfurt	6	−16	3
15	Empor Glauchau	6	−7	2
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	6	−11	2