Plauen v Germania Halberstadt prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Plauen 2–0 Germania Halberstadt PLAUEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Plauen win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.373

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Plauen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Plauen 50%, draw 24%, Germania Halberstadt 26%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Plauen v Germania HalberstadtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Plauen win50%

Draw24%

Germania Halberstadt win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Plauen

Germania Halberstadt

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Germania Halberstadt	8	+17	19
9	Plauen	8	+2	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · plauen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Plauen a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Plauen v Germania Halberstadt~~1.85 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 19~~9 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Plauen win

Published at 48%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Plauen win	50%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Germania Halberstadt win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Plauen or draw	74%	–	–
Plauen clean sheet	28%	–	–
Germania Halberstadt clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.3 5.1 3.6 1 7.6 10.8 6.5 2.8 2 7.5 9.3 5.9 2.6 3 4.6 5.7 3.6 4 2.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Plauen down, Germania Halberstadt across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,370 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.2% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Plauen at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Germania Halberstadt away: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Plauen, 1.27 for Germania Halberstadt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GER 0–2 PLA · PLA 4–1 GER · PLA 1–0 GER · GER 1–4 PLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug

PLAUEN

DDLWDD2–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 2–2

GERMANIA HALBERSTADT

WWWDWL5–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	+13	23
2	Germania Halberstadt	8	+17	19
3	Auerbach	8	+10	17
4	Eilenburg	8	+13	16
5	VfL Halle	8	+3	15
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	Union Sandersdorf	8	+5	10
9	Plauen	8	+2	10
10	SC Freital	8	+1	10
11	Budissa Bautzen	9	−7	9
12	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
13	Empor Glauchau	8	−5	6
14	Krieschow	8	−13	5
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	8	−21	3