Germania Halberstadt v VfL Halle prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Germania Halberstadt 2–4 VfL Halle GERMANIA HALBERSTADT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Germania Halberstadt win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.793

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Germania Halberstadt are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Germania Halberstadt 50%, draw 21%, VfL Halle 29%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on Germania Halberstadt v VfL HalleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Germania Halberstadt win50%

Draw21%

VfL Halle win29%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Germania Halberstadt

VfL Halle

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania halberstadt winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Germania Halberstadt a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Germania Halberstadt v VfL Halle~~2.21 – 1.67

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 15 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 12~~1 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Germania Halberstadt win	50%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
VfL Halle win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Germania Halberstadt or draw	71%	–	–
Germania Halberstadt clean sheet	19%	–	–
VfL Halle clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.7 3.1 3.0 1 4.2 8.1 6.3 3.5 2 5.1 8.2 6.8 3.8 3 3.7 6.0 5.0 2.8 4 2.1 3.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Germania Halberstadt down, VfL Halle across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,364 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.1% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.83 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Germania Halberstadt at home: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). VfL Halle away: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Germania Halberstadt, 1.67 for VfL Halle. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.83

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~GER 3–3 VFL · VFL 1–2 GER · GER 3–4 VFL · VFL 4–0 GER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 15 Aug

GERMANIA HALBERSTADT

WWWWDW4–1 · 5–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 3–0

VFL HALLE

LWWLWL1–3 · 2–1 · 5–1 · 1–4 · 4–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	7	+19	19
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	7	+11	19
3	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
4	Auerbach	7	+8	14
5	VfL Halle	7	+1	12
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	SC Freital	8	+1	10
9	Plauen	7	+2	9
10	Budissa Bautzen	7	−3	9
11	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
12	Union Sandersdorf	7	+3	7
13	Krieschow	8	−13	5
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	7	−19	3