Empor Glauchau v Eilenburg prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 15:23

Empor Glauchau 3–1 Eilenburg EILENBURG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eilenburg win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.927

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eilenburg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Empor Glauchau 24%, draw 21%, Eilenburg 55%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Empor Glauchau v EilenburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Empor Glauchau win24%

Draw21%

Eilenburg win55%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:30

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Empor Glauchau

Eilenburg

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eilenburg winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Eilenburg a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Empor Glauchau v Eilenburg~~1.42 – 2.24

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 16 Aug~~W0 D3 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 16~~14 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Empor Glauchau win	24%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Eilenburg win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Empor Glauchau or draw	45%	–	–
Empor Glauchau clean sheet	11%	–	–
Eilenburg clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.8%

0123450 3.4 5.5 6.5 4.8 2.8 1 3.3 8.6 8.8 6.5 3.7 2 2.7 5.7 6.2 4.5 2.6 3 2.8 3.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Empor Glauchau down, Eilenburg across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,364 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.1% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Empor Glauchau at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Eilenburg away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Empor Glauchau, 2.24 for Eilenburg. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 16 Aug

EMPOR GLAUCHAU

LLDLDD1–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–1

EILENBURG

DWWWLW1–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 2–3 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	7	+19	19
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	7	+11	19
3	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
4	Auerbach	7	+8	14
5	VfL Halle	7	+1	12
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	SC Freital	8	+1	10
9	Plauen	7	+2	9
10	Budissa Bautzen	7	−3	9
11	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
12	Union Sandersdorf	7	+3	7
13	Krieschow	8	−13	5
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	7	−19	3