Einheit Wernigerode v Einheit Rudolstadt prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Einheit Wernigerode 1–1 Einheit Rudolstadt EINHEIT WERNIGERODE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Einheit Wernigerode win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.959

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Einheit Wernigerode are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Einheit Wernigerode 52%, draw 21%, Einheit Rudolstadt 27%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Einheit Wernigerode v Einheit RudolstadtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Einheit Wernigerode win52%

Draw21%

Einheit Rudolstadt win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Einheit Wernigerode

Einheit Rudolstadt

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Einheit Wernigerode	7	−6	7
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	7	−15	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · einheit wernigerode winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Einheit Wernigerode a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Einheit Wernigerode v Einheit Rudolstadt~~2.19 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 15 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 2~~12 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Einheit Wernigerode win

Published at 50%, 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Einheit Wernigerode win	52%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Einheit Rudolstadt win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode or draw	73%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode clean sheet	22%	–	–
Einheit Rudolstadt clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 3.1 3.4 2.9 1 4.9 8.6 6.2 3.2 2 5.8 8.7 6.6 3.4 3 4.2 6.3 4.8 2.5 4 2.3 3.5 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Einheit Wernigerode down, Einheit Rudolstadt across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,361 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.1% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.80 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Einheit Wernigerode at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Einheit Rudolstadt away: 1.00 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.19 goals for Einheit Wernigerode, 1.54 for Einheit Rudolstadt. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WER 2–0 RUD · RUD 2–1 WER · WER 1–1 RUD · RUD 4–2 WER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 15 Aug

EINHEIT WERNIGERODE

WDDDDL3–1 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–6

EINHEIT RUDOLSTADT

DLDLLL0–0 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 0–1 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	7	+19	19
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	7	+11	19
3	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
4	Auerbach	7	+8	14
5	VfL Halle	7	+1	12
6	Dresden II	7	+5	11
7	Plauen	7	+2	9
8	Weissenfels	7	−2	9
9	Budissa Bautzen	7	−3	9
10	Union Sandersdorf	7	+3	7
11	SC Freital	7	−1	7
12	Einheit Wernigerode	7	−6	7
13	Krieschow	7	−11	5
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3
15	FC Frankfurt	7	−19	3
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	7	−15	2