Einheit Rudolstadt v Auerbach prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Einheit Rudolstadt 1–5 Auerbach AUERBACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Auerbach win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.306

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Einheit Rudolstadt win22%

Draw23%

Auerbach win55%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Einheit Rudolstadt

Auerbach

14Days since last match16

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Auerbach	6	+4	11
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	6	−11	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · auerbach winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Auerbach a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Einheit Rudolstadt win	22%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Auerbach win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Einheit Rudolstadt or draw	45%	–	–
Einheit Rudolstadt clean sheet	15%	–	–
Auerbach clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.5 8.4 8.6 5.5 2.7 1 4.8 10.7 9.6 6.2 3.0 2 3.1 5.8 5.5 3.5 3 2.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Einheit Rudolstadt down, Auerbach across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,357 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.4% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 2.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Einheit Rudolstadt at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Auerbach away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Einheit Rudolstadt, 1.93 for Auerbach. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~AUE 1–1 EIN · EIN 0–3 AUE · EIN 1–1 AUE · AUE 2–1 EIN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

EINHEIT RUDOLSTADT

LDLDLL1–3 · 0–0 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 0–1

AUERBACH

LWWDDW1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	7	+19	19
2	Eilenburg	7	+15	16
3	ZFC Meuselwitz	6	+8	16
4	VfL Halle	6	+4	12
5	Auerbach	6	+4	11
6	Dresden II	6	+5	10
7	Plauen	7	+2	9
8	Weissenfels	6	0	9
9	Union Sandersdorf	7	+3	7
10	SC Freital	7	−1	7
11	Einheit Wernigerode	7	−6	7
12	Budissa Bautzen	6	−5	6
13	Krieschow	6	−11	4
14	Empor Glauchau	7	−7	3
15	FC Frankfurt	7	−19	3
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	6	−11	2