Eilenburg v Krieschow prediction · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Eilenburg 0–1 Krieschow EILENBURG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eilenburg win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.030

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eilenburg are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eilenburg 61%, draw 18%, Krieschow 21%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Eilenburg v KrieschowBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Eilenburg win61%

Draw18%

Krieschow win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eilenburg

Krieschow

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Eilenburg	8	+13	16
14	Krieschow	8	−13	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eilenburg winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Eilenburg a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eilenburg v Krieschow~~2.63 – 1.49

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 16 v 5~~4 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eilenburg win

Published at 64%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eilenburg win	61%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Krieschow win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Eilenburg or draw	79%	–	–
Eilenburg clean sheet	23%	–	–
Krieschow clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.3 2.2 1 4.1 6.8 4.8 2.4 2 5.7 8.1 6.0 3.0 3 4.9 6.9 5.1 2.6 4 3.3 4.6 3.3 5 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eilenburg down, Krieschow across0–5 goals a side shown (93.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,370 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.2% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eilenburg at home: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Krieschow away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.63 goals for Eilenburg, 1.49 for Krieschow. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KRI 0–2 EIL · EIL 3–0 KRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug

EILENBURG

WWWLWL3–1 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 2–3 · 6–0 · 1–3

KRIESCHOW

LLWDDL0–5 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	+13	23
2	Germania Halberstadt	8	+17	19
3	Auerbach	8	+10	17
4	Eilenburg	8	+13	16
5	VfL Halle	8	+3	15
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	Union Sandersdorf	8	+5	10
9	Plauen	8	+2	10
10	SC Freital	8	+1	10
11	Budissa Bautzen	9	−7	9
12	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
13	Empor Glauchau	8	−5	6
14	Krieschow	8	−13	5
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	8	−21	3