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Eilenburg v Einheit Wernigerode

Eilenburg

6–0Full time

Einheit Wernigerode

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Eilenburg 6–0 Einheit Wernigerode EILENBURG WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eilenburg win~~68%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.151

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Eilenburg win68%

Draw16%

Einheit Wernigerode win16%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eilenburg winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Eilenburg a 68% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eilenburg win	68%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Eilenburg or draw	84%	–	–
Eilenburg clean sheet	26%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.5%

0123450 1 3.7 5.7 3.8 2 5.6 7.5 5.3 2.5 3 5.4 7.3 5.0 2.4 4 4.1 5.4 3.7 5 2.5 3.3 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Eilenburg down, Einheit Wernigerode across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eilenburg at home: 2.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Einheit Wernigerode away: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.99 goals for Eilenburg, 1.40 for Einheit Wernigerode. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EIN 2–2 EIL · EIL 3–1 EIN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

EILENBURG

WDWWWL5–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 2–3

EINHEIT WERNIGERODE

LWDDDD1–3 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Germania Halberstadt	6	+16	16
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	6	+8	16
3	Eilenburg	6	+9	13
4	VfL Halle	6	+4	12
5	Auerbach	6	+4	11
6	Dresden II	6	+5	10
7	Weissenfels	6	0	9
8	Plauen	6	+2	8
9	Einheit Wernigerode	6	0	7
10	Union Sandersdorf	6	+3	6
11	SC Freital	6	−1	6
12	Budissa Bautzen	6	−5	6
13	Krieschow	6	−11	4
14	FC Frankfurt	6	−16	3
15	Empor Glauchau	6	−7	2
16	Einheit Rudolstadt	6	−11	2