Dresden II v Union Sandersdorf prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dresden IIDrawUnion Sandersdorf

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dresden II 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dresden II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dresden II 45%, draw 26%, Union Sandersdorf 29%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Dresden II v Union SandersdorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Dresden II win45%

Draw26%

Union Sandersdorf win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dresden II

Union Sandersdorf

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Dresden II	8	+4	11
10	Union Sandersdorf	8	+5	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dresden ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Dresden II a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dresden II v Union Sandersdorf~~1.55 – 1.18

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 10~~9 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dresden II win	45%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Union Sandersdorf win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Dresden II or draw	71%	–	–
Dresden II clean sheet	32%	–	–
Union Sandersdorf clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.6 7.2 4.6 1 9.6 12.3 6.8 2.7 2 7.8 8.9 5.2 2.1 3 4.1 4.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dresden II down, Union Sandersdorf across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,375 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.6% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Dresden II at home: 2.25 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 4). Union Sandersdorf away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Dresden II, 1.18 for Union Sandersdorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 29 Aug

DRESDEN II

WDDDDL5–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–2

UNION SANDERSDORF

WLLLDW8–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 3–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	+13	23
2	Auerbach	9	+13	20
3	Germania Halberstadt	9	+15	19
4	VfL Halle	9	+4	18
5	Eilenburg	9	+12	16
6	Plauen	9	+4	13
7	SC Freital	9	+2	13
8	Weissenfels	9	−2	12
9	Dresden II	8	+4	11
10	Union Sandersdorf	8	+5	10
11	Budissa Bautzen	9	−7	9
12	Einheit Wernigerode	9	−9	8
13	Krieschow	9	−12	8
14	Empor Glauchau	8	−5	6
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	9	−22	3