Auerbach v Einheit Wernigerode prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Auerbach 4–1 Einheit Wernigerode AUERBACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Auerbach win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.160

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Auerbach are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Auerbach 67%, draw 18%, Einheit Wernigerode 15%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Auerbach v Einheit WernigerodeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Auerbach win67%

Draw18%

Einheit Wernigerode win15%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV- Sud · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Auerbach

Einheit Wernigerode

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Auerbach	8	+10	17
12	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · auerbach winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Auerbach a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Auerbach v Einheit Wernigerode~~2.59 – 1.15

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 28 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W0 D5 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 8~~3 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Auerbach win	67%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Auerbach or draw	85%	–	–
Auerbach clean sheet	32%	–	–
Einheit Wernigerode clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.0 2.4 1 5.9 7.5 4.1 2 7.9 8.9 5.1 2.0 3 6.8 7.6 4.4 4 4.4 5.0 2.8 5 2.4 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Auerbach down, Einheit Wernigerode across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,370 Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.2% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Auerbach at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Einheit Wernigerode away: 1.17 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.59 goals for Auerbach, 1.15 for Einheit Wernigerode. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~EIN 0–2 AUE · AUE 3–0 EIN · EIN 1–1 AUE · AUE 3–1 EIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd this season · since 28 Aug

AUERBACH

WDDWWW3–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 5–1 · 3–1

EINHEIT WERNIGERODE

DDDDLD2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–6 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	+13	23
2	Germania Halberstadt	8	+17	19
3	Auerbach	8	+10	17
4	Eilenburg	8	+13	16
5	VfL Halle	8	+3	15
6	Weissenfels	8	−1	12
7	Dresden II	8	+4	11
8	Union Sandersdorf	8	+5	10
9	Plauen	8	+2	10
10	SC Freital	8	+1	10
11	Budissa Bautzen	9	−7	9
12	Einheit Wernigerode	8	−6	8
13	Empor Glauchau	8	−5	6
14	Krieschow	8	−13	5
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	8	−15	3
16	FC Frankfurt	8	−21	3