Union Klosterfelde v Eintracht Mahlsdorf prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30

Union Klosterfelde 1–3 Eintracht Mahlsdorf UNION KLOSTERFELDE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Union Klosterfelde win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.727

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Union Klosterfelde are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Union Klosterfelde 42%, draw 26%, Eintracht Mahlsdorf 31%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Union Klosterfelde v Eintracht MahlsdorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Union Klosterfelde win42%

Draw26%

Eintracht Mahlsdorf win31%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:30

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Union Klosterfelde

Eintracht Mahlsdorf

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	7	+3	13
12	Union Klosterfelde	7	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union klosterfelde winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Union Klosterfelde a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Union Klosterfelde v Eintracht Mahlsdorf~~1.50 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 13~~12 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Union Klosterfelde win

Published at 43%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Union Klosterfelde win	42%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Union Klosterfelde or draw	69%	–	–
Union Klosterfelde clean sheet	30%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.6 7.5 5.0 2.1 1 9.2 12.2 7.2 3.1 2 7.2 8.6 5.3 2.3 3 3.7 4.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Union Klosterfelde down, Eintracht Mahlsdorf across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,361 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Union Klosterfelde at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Eintracht Mahlsdorf away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Union Klosterfelde, 1.25 for Eintracht Mahlsdorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~UNI 1–0 EIN · EIN 1–1 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 15 Aug

UNION KLOSTERFELDE

WLLLWD2–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

EINTRACHT MAHLSDORF

WDWLWW1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BAK '07	7	+6	15
2	Siedenbollentin	7	+6	13
3	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	7	+3	13
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	7	+6	12
5	Lichtenberg	7	+2	12
6	Anker Wismar	7	0	12
7	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	7	+1	11
8	Optik Rathenow	7	−1	10
9	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
10	Tennis Borussia	7	0	9
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
12	Union Klosterfelde	7	−4	8
13	Makkabi	7	−8	8
14	FC Lok Stendal	7	−3	7
15	Sparta Lichtenberg	7	−6	5
16	Neustrelitz	7	−8	3