Tennis Borussia v Optik Rathenow prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Tennis Borussia 1–0 Optik Rathenow TENNIS BORUSSIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tennis Borussia win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.496

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tennis Borussia are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tennis Borussia 43%, draw 27%, Optik Rathenow 30%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Tennis Borussia v Optik RathenowBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tennis Borussia win43%

Draw27%

Optik Rathenow win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tennis Borussia

Optik Rathenow

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Optik Rathenow	7	−1	10
10	Tennis Borussia	7	0	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tennis borussia winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Tennis Borussia a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tennis Borussia v Optik Rathenow~~1.48 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tennis Borussia win	43%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Optik Rathenow win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Tennis Borussia or draw	70%	–	–
Tennis Borussia clean sheet	31%	–	–
Optik Rathenow clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 8.5 7.8 5.0 2.0 1 9.5 12.3 6.9 2.9 2 7.3 8.5 5.1 2.1 3 3.6 4.3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tennis Borussia down, Optik Rathenow across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,363 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.6% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tennis Borussia at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Optik Rathenow away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Tennis Borussia, 1.20 for Optik Rathenow. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~TEN 1–1 OPT · OPT 1–1 TEN · TEN 3–0 OPT · OPT 2–0 TEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 15 Aug

TENNIS BORUSSIA

DLWDLW0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

OPTIK RATHENOW

LWWLWL0–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 4–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
2	BAK '07	7	+6	15
3	Siedenbollentin	8	+6	14
4	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
5	Hertha Zehlendorf	7	+6	12
6	Lichtenberg	7	+2	12
7	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	7	+1	11
8	Optik Rathenow	7	−1	10
9	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
10	Tennis Borussia	7	0	9
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
12	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
13	Makkabi	7	−8	8
14	FC Lok Stendal	7	−3	7
15	Sparta Lichtenberg	7	−6	5
16	Neustrelitz	7	−8	3