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Model 1.1

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Sparta Lichtenberg v Hertha Zehlendorf

Sparta Lichtenberg
0–4Full time
Hertha Zehlendorf

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46
Sparta Lichtenberg 0–4 Hertha Zehlendorf HERTHA ZEHLENDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hertha Zehlendorf win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.389

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Sparta LichtenbergDrawHertha Zehlendorf
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Sparta Lichtenberg 0–4 Hertha Zehlendorf

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sparta Lichtenberg

Hertha Zehlendorf

14Days since last match16
1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Hertha Zehlendorf6+29
15Sparta Lichtenberg6−25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sparta Lichtenberg win31%
Draw20%
Hertha Zehlendorf win49%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hertha zehlendorf winPublished 11 Oct 15:49
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Hertha Zehlendorf a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sparta Lichtenberg win31%––
Draw20%––
Hertha Zehlendorf win49%––
Over 2.5 goals77%––
Both teams to score74%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals59%––
Sparta Lichtenberg or draw51%––
Sparta Lichtenberg clean sheet11%––
Hertha Zehlendorf clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.3%
0123450 2.3 3.6 4.4 3.4 2.1 1 2.7 6.9 7.3 5.6 3.4 2 2.7 5.8 6.4 4.9 2.9 3 3.6 4.0 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sparta Lichtenberg down, Hertha Zehlendorf across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsSPA 1–5 HER · HER 2–2 SPA

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

SPARTA LICHTENBERG

DDLLWL1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 1–2

HERTHA ZEHLENDORF

LWLLWW0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1BAK '077+615
2Siedenbollentin7+613
3Eintracht Mahlsdorf7+313
4Lichtenberg7+212
5Anker Wismar7012
6Reinickendorfer Fuchse7+111
7Optik Rathenow7−110
8Hansa Rostock II7+79
9Hertha Zehlendorf6+29
10Tennis Borussia709
11Mecklenburg Schwerin7−19
12Union Klosterfelde7−48
13Makkabi7−88
14FC Lok Stendal7−37
15Sparta Lichtenberg6−25
16Neustrelitz7−83

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 14:47 UTC.