Siedenbollentin v Hansa Rostock II prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 21:06

Siedenbollentin 0–1 Hansa Rostock II HANSA ROSTOCK II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hansa Rostock II win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.482

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hansa Rostock II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Siedenbollentin 34%, draw 22%, Hansa Rostock II 44%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Siedenbollentin v Hansa Rostock IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Siedenbollentin win34%

Draw22%

Hansa Rostock II win44%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:30

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Siedenbollentin

Hansa Rostock II

6Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Siedenbollentin	8	+6	14
9	Hansa Rostock II	8	+7	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hansa rostock ii winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Hansa Rostock II a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Siedenbollentin v Hansa Rostock II~~1.75 – 2.00

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 10~~4 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hansa Rostock II win

Published at 45%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Siedenbollentin win	34%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hansa Rostock II win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Siedenbollentin or draw	56%	–	–
Siedenbollentin clean sheet	14%	–	–
Hansa Rostock II clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%

0123450 3.2 4.4 4.8 3.2 1 3.8 8.6 7.9 5.3 2.7 2 3.7 7.0 6.8 4.5 2.3 3 2.2 4.1 4.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Siedenbollentin down, Hansa Rostock II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,369 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Siedenbollentin at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hansa Rostock II away: 3.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Siedenbollentin, 2.00 for Hansa Rostock II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAN 3–1 SIE · SIE 2–2 HAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 29 Aug

SIEDENBOLLENTIN

WWWDLD3–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

HANSA ROSTOCK II

LDWWDD1–2 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 8–1 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
2	Hertha Zehlendorf	8	+9	15
3	BAK '07	8	+3	15
4	Siedenbollentin	8	+6	14
5	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	8	+3	14
6	Lichtenberg	8	+2	13
7	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
8	Tennis Borussia	8	+1	12
9	Hansa Rostock II	8	+7	10
10	Optik Rathenow	8	−2	10
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	8	−3	9
12	FC Lok Stendal	8	−3	8
13	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
14	Makkabi	8	−10	8
15	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6
16	Sparta Lichtenberg	8	−6	6