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Reinickendorfer Fuchse v FC Lok Stendal

Reinickendorfer Fuchse

2–1Full time

FC Lok Stendal

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Reinickendorfer Fuchse 2–1 FC Lok Stendal REINICKENDORFER FUCHSE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Reinickendorfer Fuchse win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.282

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Reinickendorfer Fuchse win57%

Draw21%

FC Lok Stendal win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · reinickendorfer fuchse winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Reinickendorfer Fuchse a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Reinickendorfer Fuchse win	57%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
FC Lok Stendal win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Reinickendorfer Fuchse or draw	77%	–	–
Reinickendorfer Fuchse clean sheet	28%	–	–
FC Lok Stendal clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 4.0 3.6 2.7 1 6.2 8.8 5.4 2.5 2 7.1 8.6 5.6 2.6 3 5.2 6.3 4.1 4 3.0 3.6 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Reinickendorfer Fuchse down, FC Lok Stendal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,354 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Reinickendorfer Fuchse at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). FC Lok Stendal away: 0.83 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.25 goals for Reinickendorfer Fuchse, 1.32 for FC Lok Stendal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

REINICKENDORFER FUCHSE

DLDWWL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

FC LOK STENDAL

DLWWLL2–2 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BAK '07	6	+6	14
2	Siedenbollentin	6	+7	13
3	Lichtenberg	6	+4	12
4	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	6	+2	10
5	Optik Rathenow	6	0	10
6	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
7	Hertha Zehlendorf	6	+2	9
8	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
9	Anker Wismar	6	−2	9
10	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	6	0	8
11	FC Lok Stendal	6	−2	7
12	Union Klosterfelde	6	−4	7
13	Tennis Borussia	6	−1	6
14	Sparta Lichtenberg	6	−2	5
15	Makkabi	6	−9	5
16	Neustrelitz	6	−7	3