Optik Rathenow v Anker Wismar prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Optik Rathenow 5–0 Anker Wismar OPTIK RATHENOW WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Optik Rathenow win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.565

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Optik Rathenow just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Optik Rathenow 39%, draw 27%, Anker Wismar 35%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Optik Rathenow v Anker WismarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Optik Rathenow win39%

Draw27%

Anker Wismar win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Optik Rathenow

Anker Wismar

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
10	Optik Rathenow	8	−2	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · optik rathenow winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Optik Rathenow a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Optik Rathenow v Anker Wismar~~1.42 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 13~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Optik Rathenow win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Optik Rathenow win	39%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Anker Wismar win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Optik Rathenow or draw	65%	–	–
Optik Rathenow clean sheet	27%	–	–
Anker Wismar clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.7 8.1 5.6 2.5 1 8.6 12.2 7.6 3.4 2 6.4 8.2 5.4 2.5 3 3.1 4.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Optik Rathenow down, Anker Wismar across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Optik Rathenow at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Anker Wismar away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Optik Rathenow, 1.33 for Anker Wismar. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~OPT 1–1 ANK · ANK 1–1 OPT · OPT 3–2 ANK · ANK 1–4 OPT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug

OPTIK RATHENOW

WWLWLL2–1 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 4–3 · 0–1 · 0–1

ANKER WISMAR

LLWLWD1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	+4	17
2	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	8	+9	15
4	BAK '07	8	+3	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	+5	14
6	Hansa Rostock II	9	+8	13
7	Lichtenberg	8	+2	13
8	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
9	Tennis Borussia	9	0	12
10	Optik Rathenow	8	−2	10
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	8	−3	9
12	FC Lok Stendal	8	−3	8
13	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
14	Makkabi	8	−10	8
15	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6
16	Sparta Lichtenberg	8	−6	6