Neustrelitz v Union Klosterfelde prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NeustrelitzDrawUnion Klosterfelde

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Neustrelitz 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Neustrelitz are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Neustrelitz 47%, draw 24%, Union Klosterfelde 29%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Neustrelitz v Union KlosterfeldeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Neustrelitz win47%

Draw24%

Union Klosterfelde win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 9

VenueParkstadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Neustrelitz

Union Klosterfelde

7Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
16	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · neustrelitz winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Neustrelitz a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Neustrelitz v Union Klosterfelde~~1.81 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 8~~16 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Neustrelitz win	47%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Union Klosterfelde win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Neustrelitz or draw	71%	–	–
Neustrelitz clean sheet	26%	–	–
Union Klosterfelde clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.1 5.3 4.0 1 7.1 10.6 6.9 3.2 2 6.8 8.9 6.1 2.8 3 4.1 5.4 3.7 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Neustrelitz down, Union Klosterfelde across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,375 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Neustrelitz at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Union Klosterfelde away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Neustrelitz, 1.38 for Union Klosterfelde. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~UNI 1–1 NEU · NEU 5–1 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug

NEUSTRELITZ

LLLLLW1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–0

UNION KLOSTERFELDE

LLLWDL0–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	+6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	+4	17
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	+8	15
4	BAK '07	8	+3	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	+5	14
6	Hansa Rostock II	9	+8	13
7	Optik Rathenow	9	+3	13
8	Lichtenberg	8	+2	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	−5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	8	−3	9
12	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	−4	9
13	FC Lok Stendal	8	−3	8
14	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
15	Makkabi	9	−12	8
16	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6