Home › Football › Oberliga - Nordost-Nord › Mecklenburg Schwerin v Hansa Rostock II

Mecklenburg Schwerin v Hansa Rostock II

Mecklenburg Schwerin

2–2Full time

Hansa Rostock II

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Mecklenburg Schwerin 2–2 Hansa Rostock II HANSA ROSTOCK II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hansa Rostock II win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.044

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mecklenburg Schwerin win22%

Draw19%

Hansa Rostock II win59%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hansa rostock ii winPublished 9 Oct 21:03

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Hansa Rostock II a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mecklenburg Schwerin win	22%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Hansa Rostock II win	59%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Mecklenburg Schwerin or draw	41%	–	–
Mecklenburg Schwerin clean sheet	10%	–	–
Hansa Rostock II clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.2%

0123450 2.8 4.7 6.0 4.8 3.1 1 2.7 7.5 8.2 6.5 4.1 2.22 2.3 5.1 5.9 4.7 2.9 3 2.6 3.0 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mecklenburg Schwerin down, Hansa Rostock II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.3% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mecklenburg Schwerin at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hansa Rostock II away: 3.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Mecklenburg Schwerin, 2.50 for Hansa Rostock II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MEC 1–4 HAN · HAN 3–0 MEC · MEC 0–3 HAN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

MECKLENBURG SCHWERIN

WDWDLL2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–3

HANSA ROSTOCK II

DLLDWW1–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 8–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BAK '07	6	+6	14
2	Siedenbollentin	6	+7	13
3	Lichtenberg	6	+4	12
4	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	6	+2	10
5	Optik Rathenow	6	0	10
6	Hertha Zehlendorf	6	+2	9
7	Anker Wismar	6	−2	9
8	Hansa Rostock II	6	+7	8
9	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	6	0	8
10	Mecklenburg Schwerin	6	−1	8
11	FC Lok Stendal	6	−2	7
12	Union Klosterfelde	6	−4	7
13	Tennis Borussia	6	−1	6
14	Sparta Lichtenberg	6	−2	5
15	Makkabi	6	−9	5
16	Neustrelitz	6	−7	3