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Lichtenberg v Anker Wismar

Lichtenberg

1–3Full time

Anker Wismar

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Lichtenberg 1–3 Anker Wismar LICHTENBERG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lichtenberg win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.207

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Lichtenberg win67%

Draw18%

Anker Wismar win15%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lichtenberg winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Lichtenberg a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lichtenberg win	67%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Anker Wismar win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Lichtenberg or draw	85%	–	–
Lichtenberg clean sheet	34%	–	–
Anker Wismar clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.7 2.7 1 6.7 7.9 4.1 2 8.5 9.0 4.9 3 7.0 7.4 4.1 4 4.4 4.7 2.6 5 2.3 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lichtenberg down, Anker Wismar across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,354 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lichtenberg at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Anker Wismar away: 2.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.50 goals for Lichtenberg, 1.09 for Anker Wismar. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LIC 1–2 ANK · ANK 1–3 LIC · LIC 2–1 ANK · ANK 0–4 LIC

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

LICHTENBERG

WLWLWW3–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0

ANKER WISMAR

WWLLWL1–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BAK '07	6	+6	14
2	Siedenbollentin	6	+7	13
3	Lichtenberg	6	+4	12
4	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	6	+2	10
5	Optik Rathenow	6	0	10
6	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
7	Hertha Zehlendorf	6	+2	9
8	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
9	Anker Wismar	6	−2	9
10	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	6	0	8
11	FC Lok Stendal	6	−2	7
12	Union Klosterfelde	6	−4	7
13	Tennis Borussia	6	−1	6
14	Sparta Lichtenberg	6	−2	5
15	Makkabi	6	−9	5
16	Neustrelitz	6	−7	3