Hertha Zehlendorf v Neustrelitz prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hertha ZehlendorfDrawNeustrelitz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hertha Zehlendorf 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hertha Zehlendorf are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hertha Zehlendorf 64%, draw 19%, Neustrelitz 17%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Hertha Zehlendorf v NeustrelitzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Hertha Zehlendorf win64%

Draw19%

Neustrelitz win17%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hertha Zehlendorf

Neustrelitz

6Days since last match12

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	+8	15
16	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hertha zehlendorf winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Hertha Zehlendorf a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hertha Zehlendorf v Neustrelitz~~2.33 – 1.07

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 15 v 6~~3 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hertha Zehlendorf win	64%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Neustrelitz win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf or draw	83%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf clean sheet	36%	–	–
Neustrelitz clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 4.3 3.4 2.1 1 7.7 8.6 4.5 2 8.9 9.0 4.9 3 6.8 6.8 3.7 4 4.1 4.0 2.1 5 2.1 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Hertha Zehlendorf down, Neustrelitz across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.17 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hertha Zehlendorf at home: 2.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Neustrelitz away: 1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.33 goals for Hertha Zehlendorf, 1.07 for Neustrelitz. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~NEU 0–1 HER · HER 3–0 NEU · HER 2–0 NEU · NEU 0–1 HER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 28 Aug

HERTHA ZEHLENDORF

LWWWWL1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 1–2

NEUSTRELITZ

LLLLLW1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	+6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	+4	17
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	+8	15
4	BAK '07	8	+3	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	+5	14
6	Hansa Rostock II	9	+8	13
7	Optik Rathenow	9	+3	13
8	Lichtenberg	8	+2	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	−5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	8	−3	9
12	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	−4	9
13	FC Lok Stendal	8	−3	8
14	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
15	Makkabi	9	−12	8
16	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6