Hertha Zehlendorf v BAK '07 prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Hertha Zehlendorf 3–0 BAK '07 HERTHA ZEHLENDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hertha Zehlendorf win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.187

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hertha Zehlendorf are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hertha Zehlendorf 65%, draw 20%, BAK '07 16%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Hertha Zehlendorf v BAK '07Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hertha Zehlendorf win65%

Draw20%

BAK '07 win16%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hertha Zehlendorf

BAK '07

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	BAK '07	7	+6	15
5	Hertha Zehlendorf	7	+6	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hertha zehlendorf winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Hertha Zehlendorf a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hertha Zehlendorf v BAK '07~~2.32 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 16 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hertha Zehlendorf win	65%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
BAK '07 win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf or draw	84%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf clean sheet	37%	–	–
BAK '07 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.3%

0123450 4.6 3.3 2.0 1 8.0 8.7 4.3 2 9.3 9.1 4.7 3 7.1 6.9 3.6 4 4.2 4.1 2.1 5 2.1 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Hertha Zehlendorf down, BAK '07 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,363 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.6% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Hertha Zehlendorf at home: 3.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). BAK '07 away: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Hertha Zehlendorf, 1.03 for BAK '07. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 16 Aug

HERTHA ZEHLENDORF

WLLWWW2–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–0

BAK '07

WWDWWD2–1 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
2	BAK '07	7	+6	15
3	Siedenbollentin	8	+6	14
4	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
5	Hertha Zehlendorf	7	+6	12
6	Lichtenberg	7	+2	12
7	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	7	+1	11
8	Optik Rathenow	7	−1	10
9	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
10	Tennis Borussia	7	0	9
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
12	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
13	Makkabi	7	−8	8
14	FC Lok Stendal	7	−3	7
15	Sparta Lichtenberg	7	−6	5
16	Neustrelitz	7	−8	3